Avalanche Problems
The 8 avalanche problems used in forecasting. Understanding these helps you interpret forecasts and make better terrain decisions.
What are Avalanche Problems?
Avalanche forecasters organize conditions into these 8 problem types. Each forecast identifies which problems exist, where they're found (elevation/aspect), their likelihood, and expected size. This framework helps you match terrain choices to current conditions.
Using Avalanche Forecasts
1. Check Daily
Read your local forecast every morning, even if not going out. Learn how forecasters describe conditions.
2. Identify Active Problems
Look for which of the 8 problems exist today. Forecasts list them in order of concern.
3. Note Elevation & Aspect
Pay attention to where problems exist. Sometimes different elevations have different problems.
4. Match Terrain to Problems
Avoid terrain where problems exist. Choose slopes that don't match problem parameters.
5. Reassess in Field
Forecasts are regional. Observe actual conditions and adjust plans if observations don't match forecast.